Future Trends in the Real Estate Market
January 22, 2015
In this segment Tom Fink discusses the estimated upcoming commercial real estate debt maturities with annual maturities by lender type. It demonstrates that there is still around $1 trillion of debt coming due from 2015 to 2017.
The last 3 years have shown a continued erosion of the amount that’s due in 2016 and 2017 as people pre-pay loans, as properties get sold and as distressed debt works out. There is a wall of maturity coming, in excess of $100M dollars, but the market has demonstrated the resilience to be able to address that and carry forward even in light of that coming volume.
Among the banking, the CMBS markets are the two big contributors to that. The fact of the matter is that we have been already putting a big dent in that market because this year alone. For example, with $100 million dollars to CMBS that's being done, there was only about $60 billion of CMBS maturing, so we have been seeing over the last three years a continued erosion of the amount that's due in 16 and 17 as people pre-pay loans as properties get sold as distressed at works out. So, yes, there is a wall of maturity coming. Yes, it's an excess of $100 million dollars, but I think the market has demonstrated the resilience to be able to address that carry forward even in light of that volume.
Aaron Kaiser:Tom, thank you very much for your insights and thought leadership.
Tom Fink:Aaron, it was my pleasure. I always liked working with you and the folks at EisnerAmper.
Aaron Kaiser:Thank you so much. For more information go to EisnerAmper.com.